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Red50
250315.6
416610.6
621714.4
Blue43
616014.0
448017.0
569013.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344010203050605043

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.60.7
11.812.5
Auto4.5
Teleop4.4
End6.8
blue by 1.4
4480
#55
17.00.5
12.413.0
Auto4.2
Teleop9.4
End3.4
Second
6217
#13
14.40.7
12.112.8
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End5.9
red by 0.4
6160
#24
14.00.5
12.312.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End6.2
Third
4166
#56
10.60.7
7.98.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End2.3
blue by 2.7
5690
#46
13.30.5
13.514.0
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsEarned2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsEarned30%HAB Docking oddsMissed