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Red52
400921.8
591316.6
63189.9
Blue38
250617.9
723510.9
16714.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414502060805238

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.81.5
18.219.7
Auto3.6
Teleop12.9
End5.3
red by 3.9
2506
#28
17.90.5
13.112.5
Auto3.2
Teleop10.1
End4.7
Second
5913
#37
16.61.5
11.012.5
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End3.7
red by 2.0
167
#43
14.60.5
18.117.5
Auto3.0
Teleop9.3
End2.4
Third
6318
#44
9.91.5
9.410.9
Auto4.2
Teleop3.0
End2.7
blue by 0.9
7235
#59
10.90.5
11.811.2
Auto4.3
Teleop3.4
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
33%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed