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Red58
599120.1
616014.0
604516.4
Blue35
569013.3
599911.0
591316.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions473902060801005835

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.11.1
16.717.8
Auto3.7
Teleop10.8
End5.6
red by 3.5
5913
#37
16.60.5
12.511.9
Auto4.5
Teleop8.4
End3.7
Second
6045
#25
16.41.1
15.316.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End2.9
red by 3.0
5690
#46
13.30.5
14.013.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End2.2
Third
6160
#24
14.01.1
12.813.9
Auto3.1
Teleop4.7
End6.2
red by 3.0
5999
#34
11.00.5
10.39.8
Auto4.2
Teleop5.3
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed