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Red23
786415.3
569013.3
42178.1
Blue17
327511.8
423012.6
78939.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3839202530354550552317

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7864
#16
15.36.7
15.38.6
Auto4.6
Teleop5.2
End5.5
red by 2.8
4230
#47
12.62.2
13.911.7
Auto5.0
Teleop4.5
End3.1
Second
5690
#46
13.31.4
14.913.4
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End2.2
red by 1.6
3275
#30
11.82.2
12.710.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End3.1
Third
4217
#60
8.11.4
11.19.6
Auto2.4
Teleop2.5
End3.2
blue by 1.8
7893
#53
9.81.9
9.87.9
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
25%HAB Docking oddsMissed26%HAB Docking oddsMissed