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Red33
569013.3
554217.1
329410.4
Blue28
329112.1
313412.5
706812.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4440303550553328

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5542
#11
17.10.9
16.015.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.1
End4.4
red by 4.6
3134
#50
12.51.1
14.613.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End5.1
Second
5690
#46
13.30.9
13.512.5
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End2.2
red by 1.2
7068
#61
12.11.1
11.810.7
Auto5.4
Teleop4.2
End2.6
Third
3294
#40
10.40.9
12.011.1
Auto2.8
Teleop3.9
End3.7
blue by 1.7
3291
#29
12.11.1
11.910.7
Auto4.6
Teleop4.9
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
48%HAB Docking oddsMissed17%HAB Docking oddsMissed