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Red47
599120.1
448017.0
252614.6
Blue73
534823.0
310226.5
662818.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50553540456065704773

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.10.0
17.817.8
Auto3.7
Teleop10.8
End5.6
blue by 6.4
26.52.0
20.322.2
Auto4.1
Teleop15.0
End7.4
Second
4480
#55
17.00.0
15.815.8
Auto4.2
Teleop9.4
End3.4
blue by 6.0
5348
#14
23.02.0
18.820.7
Auto4.7
Teleop12.0
End6.3
Third
2526
#33
14.60.0
13.513.5
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End2.7
blue by 3.7
6628
#21
18.32.0
13.215.2
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsMissed74%HAB Docking oddsEarned