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Red29
645311.6
569013.3
546410.8
Blue27
25319.1
48459.7
250617.9
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37331020304050602927

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5690
#46
13.30.6
12.511.9
Auto4.8
Teleop6.3
End2.2
blue by 4.5
2506
#28
17.90.5
12.311.9
Auto3.2
Teleop10.1
End4.7
Second
6453
#58
11.60.6
11.911.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.4
End2.8
red by 1.8
4845
#51
9.70.5
8.98.4
Auto5.3
Teleop2.9
End1.5
Third
5464
#42
10.80.6
10.19.5
Auto4.1
Teleop2.8
End4.0
red by 1.7
2531
#54
9.10.5
10.09.5
Auto2.7
Teleop3.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
18%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed