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Red40
416610.6
662818.3
604516.4
Blue60
706812.1
565316.8
257422.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41473050604060

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6628
#21
18.30.2
15.215.0
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End4.7
blue by 3.9
2574
#17
22.21.7
17.819.5
Auto4.7
Teleop13.1
End4.4
Second
6045
#25
16.40.2
15.615.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End2.9
blue by 0.4
5653
#15
16.81.7
16.217.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.5
End6.2
Third
4166
#56
10.60.2
8.28.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.3
End2.3
blue by 1.5
7068
#61
12.11.7
10.712.4
Auto5.4
Teleop4.2
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed37%HAB Docking oddsEarned