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Red60
662818.3
423811.6
472824.2
Blue38
604516.4
327511.8
374013.0
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50423040606038

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.21.5
21.923.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.2
End8.9
red by 7.8
6045
#25
16.40.9
15.414.5
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End2.9
Second
6628
#21
18.31.5
15.016.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.2
End4.7
red by 5.3
3740
#49
13.00.9
12.211.3
Auto4.4
Teleop7.3
End1.3
Third
4238
#19
11.61.5
10.011.5
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End3.9
blue by 0.2
3275
#30
11.80.9
12.411.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.6
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
61%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed