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Red18
78939.8
313412.5
30087.4
Blue35
375513.0
621714.4
52539.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344010203050601835

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3134
#50
12.51.9
13.711.8
Auto3.3
Teleop4.1
End5.1
blue by 1.9
6217
#13
14.40.7
13.412.7
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End5.9
Second
7893
#53
9.81.9
9.17.1
Auto4.0
Teleop3.3
End2.5
blue by 3.2
3755
#12
13.00.7
13.412.8
Auto4.3
Teleop3.2
End5.5
Third
3008
#52
7.41.9
9.57.6
Auto3.2
Teleop1.6
End2.6
blue by 1.6
5253
#31
9.00.7
11.210.6
Auto3.4
Teleop2.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsEarned
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed45%HAB Docking oddsEarned