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Red51
420719.2
25319.1
181624.3
Blue42
327710.2
467411.7
30087.4
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions43423035404550555142

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.3
13.715.0
Auto3.7
Teleop12.2
End8.4
red by 12.5
4674
#39
11.71.9
12.210.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.6
End1.2
Second
4207
#26
19.21.3
13.314.6
Auto5.5
Teleop9.7
End4.0
red by 9.1
3277
#62
10.21.9
14.712.8
Auto3.4
Teleop2.1
End4.6
Third
2531
#54
9.11.3
12.413.7
Auto2.7
Teleop3.4
End3.0
red by 1.7
3008
#52
7.41.9
14.212.3
Auto3.2
Teleop1.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsEarned28%HAB Docking oddsMissed