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Red60
558611.2
16714.6
453925.7
Blue45
25319.1
604516.4
252614.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions534002060806045

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.71.0
25.025.9
Auto4.7
Teleop13.4
End7.6
red by 9.3
6045
#25
16.40.7
15.716.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.1
End2.9
Second
167
#43
14.61.0
14.715.7
Auto3.0
Teleop9.3
End2.4
Level
2526
#33
14.60.7
13.914.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.7
End2.7
Third
5586
#38
11.21.0
10.211.2
Auto2.8
Teleop5.1
End3.2
red by 2.1
2531
#54DQ
9.10.7
8.49.1
Auto2.7
Teleop3.4
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
35%HAB Docking oddsEarned21%HAB Docking oddsMissed