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Red87
288326.5
392622.4
327713.7
Blue65
466323.8
312218.5
257423.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626930405080901008765

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.50.6
25.326.0
Auto4.5
Teleop14.6
End7.4
red by 2.7
23.80.3
23.723.4
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End7.0
Second
22.40.8
20.821.7
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End7.4
blue by 1.2
2574
#15
23.70.2
23.623.4
Auto5.4
Teleop15.1
End3.2
Third
3277
#39
13.70.6
12.513.1
Auto4.4
Teleop5.6
End3.7
blue by 4.8
18.50.3
18.518.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End5.3