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Red38
320622.1
308215.6
249115.0
Blue49
257423.7
477819.3
785817.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53480204060801003849

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3206
#17
22.11.0
19.418.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.2
End6.2
blue by 1.5
2574
#15
23.70.1
22.222.3
Auto5.4
Teleop15.1
End3.2
Second
3082
#46
15.61.2
16.715.5
Auto3.1
Teleop9.7
End2.9
blue by 3.7
4778
#31
19.30.1
12.913.0
Auto4.1
Teleop11.1
End4.2
Third
2491
#52
15.01.1
14.313.2
Auto5.3
Teleop6.2
End3.5
blue by 2.5
7858
#37
17.57.2
17.410.2
Auto4.4
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
34%HAB Docking oddsMissed31%HAB Docking oddsMissed