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Red33
253814.7
25257.8
78757.8
Blue65
785817.5
310027.1
421516.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365102060803365

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2538
#58
14.70.1
14.013.9
Auto4.7
Teleop7.9
End2.1
blue by 12.5
3100
#10
27.11.4
24.325.7
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End8.2
Second
7875
#55
7.80.1
9.49.3
Auto3.7
Teleop2.2
End1.9
blue by 9.7
7858
#37
17.51.9
10.212.1
Auto4.4
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Third
2525
#60
7.80.1
10.710.6
Auto4.4
Teleop1.9
End1.6
blue by 9.0
4215
#24
16.81.9
13.615.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.8
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed49%HAB Docking oddsEarned