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Red69
181629.2
727315.3
466323.8
Blue45
53409.8
599317.7
466515.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564102060806945

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.21.3
24.125.4
Auto4.0
Teleop15.0
End10.3
red by 11.6
5993
#45
17.70.7
13.814.5
Auto4.1
Teleop10.5
End3.0
Second
23.81.8
13.915.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End7.0
red by 7.9
4665
#28
15.90.7
13.714.4
Auto3.0
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Third
7273
#27
15.31.8
14.816.6
Auto4.4
Teleop6.7
End4.2
red by 5.4
5340
#43
9.80.7
11.111.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
72%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed