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Red59
214318.1
298912.5
257423.7
Blue52
527512.0
384819.9
327617.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54432060805952

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2574
#15
23.70.7
23.324.1
Auto5.4
Teleop15.1
End3.2
red by 3.7
3848
#22
19.91.3
15.516.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.7
End5.7
Second
2143
#20
18.10.9
14.415.4
Auto5.1
Teleop9.6
End3.4
red by 0.7
3276
#49
17.40.8
13.814.7
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End3.4
Third
2989
#12
12.50.9
13.013.9
Auto3.1
Teleop7.4
End1.9
red by 0.5
5275
#53
12.01.3
11.312.5
Auto4.2
Teleop3.3
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
41%HAB Docking oddsMissed46%HAB Docking oddsMissed