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Red74
181629.2
331323.2
648717.5
Blue53
384819.9
265414.1
304226.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62563040507080907453

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.21.0
25.926.9
Auto4.0
Teleop15.0
End10.3
red by 2.7
26.60.0
23.623.6
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End6.8
Second
23.21.0
21.122.1
Auto5.6
Teleop11.6
End6.0
red by 3.3
3848
#22
19.90.0
16.816.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.7
End5.7
Third
6487
#13
17.51.7
12.113.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.8
End5.0
red by 3.4
2654
#41
14.10.0
12.212.3
Auto4.2
Teleop4.7
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
71%HAB Docking oddsEarned60%HAB Docking oddsEarned