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Red59
327617.4
361011.5
421516.8
Blue48
466323.8
674915.4
78496.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443610203040506070805948

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3276
#49
17.40.5
14.715.2
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End3.4
blue by 6.4
23.81.5
17.318.8
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End7.0
Second
4215
#24
16.80.8
14.815.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.8
End3.6
red by 1.4
6749
#14
15.41.5
11.212.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.6
End6.1
Third
3610
#42
11.50.8
12.012.8
Auto5.1
Teleop5.9
End0.5
red by 4.8
7849
#56
6.61.5
5.87.4
Auto3.0
Teleop1.1
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed22%HAB Docking oddsEarned