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Red46
313022.1
463213.9
361011.5
Blue28
527512.0
691217.7
25257.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443702060801004628

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#18
22.10.4
18.318.7
Auto4.1
Teleop12.5
End5.5
red by 4.4
6912
#25
17.70.8
12.211.4
Auto5.1
Teleop7.8
End4.8
Second
4632
#30
13.90.5
12.012.4
Auto3.2
Teleop8.0
End2.6
red by 1.9
5275
#53
12.00.8
11.610.8
Auto4.2
Teleop3.3
End4.5
Third
3610
#42
11.50.5
11.411.9
Auto5.1
Teleop5.9
End0.5
red by 3.7
2525
#60
7.80.8
11.510.7
Auto4.4
Teleop1.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed25%HAB Docking oddsMissed