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Red62
222515.9
691217.7
466323.8
Blue78
331323.2
417418.8
310027.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58702040801006278

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.7
21.021.7
Auto4.4
Teleop12.4
End7.0
blue by 3.3
3100
#10
27.10.1
26.226.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.1
End8.2
Second
6912
#25
17.70.7
17.117.8
Auto5.1
Teleop7.8
End4.8
blue by 5.5
23.20.1
22.322.2
Auto5.6
Teleop11.6
End6.0
Third
2225
#40
15.90.7
17.217.9
Auto3.6
Teleop9.6
End2.8
blue by 2.9
4174
#19
18.80.1
17.717.6
Auto4.6
Teleop9.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
57%HAB Docking oddsEarned61%HAB Docking oddsEarned