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Red50
464812.5
363321.2
327713.7
Blue55
260615.4
288326.5
247214.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455902040805055

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3633
#23
21.20.3
19.820.1
Auto5.0
Teleop13.1
End3.2
blue by 5.3
26.50.0
26.025.9
Auto4.5
Teleop14.6
End7.4
Second
3277
#39
13.70.3
11.812.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.6
End3.7
blue by 1.7
2606
#26
15.40.1
14.914.8
Auto5.1
Teleop6.5
End3.8
Third
4648
#36
12.50.5
11.111.6
Auto2.9
Teleop6.2
End3.4
blue by 2.2
2472
#32
14.60.1
14.914.8
Auto4.5
Teleop6.9
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed38%HAB Docking oddsEarned