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Red84
361011.5
331323.2
392622.4
Blue51
288326.5
725812.8
789210.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions584930407080908451

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.20.7
22.222.9
Auto5.6
Teleop11.6
End6.0
blue by 3.3
26.50.3
25.926.2
Auto4.5
Teleop14.6
End7.4
Second
22.41.0
20.821.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End7.4
red by 9.7
7258
#59
12.80.5
11.311.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.5
End2.7
Third
3610
#42
11.51.0
12.113.1
Auto5.1
Teleop5.9
End0.5
red by 0.9
7892
#47
10.60.4
9.510.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsEarned55%HAB Docking oddsMissed