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Red33
25257.8
257423.7
388319.2
Blue74
527817.9
331323.2
789210.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions595330407080903374

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2574
#15
23.71.5
25.223.6
Auto5.4
Teleop15.1
End3.2
red by 0.5
23.20.4
22.923.3
Auto5.6
Teleop11.6
End6.0
Second
3883
#21
19.21.5
21.019.5
Auto4.9
Teleop11.4
End2.9
red by 1.3
5278
#11
17.90.6
17.017.6
Auto4.3
Teleop9.5
End4.1
Third
2525
#60
7.82.2
10.07.8
Auto4.4
Teleop1.9
End1.6
blue by 2.8
7892
#47
10.60.6
10.010.6
Auto3.3
Teleop5.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
32%HAB Docking oddsMissed27%HAB Docking oddsMissed