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Red64
304226.6
312218.5
53409.8
Blue49
417418.8
78757.8
327617.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5545203040506070806449

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.60.8
25.826.7
Auto5.7
Teleop14.0
End6.8
red by 7.8
4174
#19
18.80.6
18.218.8
Auto4.6
Teleop9.3
End4.9
Second
18.51.2
17.318.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.2
End5.3
red by 1.1
3276
#49
17.40.4
17.017.4
Auto4.9
Teleop9.1
End3.4
Third
5340
#43
9.81.2
8.69.8
Auto2.8
Teleop4.4
End2.6
red by 2.0
7875
#55
7.80.6
7.27.8
Auto3.7
Teleop2.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
54%HAB Docking oddsEarned25%HAB Docking oddsMissed