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Red70
419822.1
591322.4
375115.1
Blue74
282320.4
250818.6
363020.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63603040507080907074

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.2
22.322.5
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End6.3
red by 1.5
3630
#30
20.90.4
19.820.1
Auto3.8
Teleop14.4
End2.7
Second
4198
#13
22.10.2
22.022.2
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End8.0
red by 1.7
2823
#40
20.40.4
19.319.7
Auto3.1
Teleop12.9
End4.5
Third
3751
#26
15.10.2
14.915.1
Auto4.7
Teleop5.8
End4.5
blue by 3.6
18.60.4
17.517.9
Auto5.2
Teleop5.9
End7.5