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Red78
460723.7
310229.0
318416.3
Blue58
546414.4
250225.6
543417.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions696130405080907858

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.3
27.828.0
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End8.3
red by 3.4
25.60.0
25.925.9
Auto5.8
Teleop12.9
End6.9
Second
4607
#47
23.70.3
22.522.8
Auto3.9
Teleop16.8
End3.0
red by 6.7
5434
#24
17.10.0
17.417.4
Auto3.4
Teleop10.5
End3.2
Third
3184
#25
16.30.3
15.115.4
Auto5.9
Teleop7.2
End3.2
red by 1.9
5464
#11
14.40.0
14.414.4
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End5.0