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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35400102030506070803840

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3007
#17
19.50.8
12.912.2
Auto3.5
Teleop8.0
End8.0
red by 2.6
16.90.2
14.414.6
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End4.8
Second
2480
#57
12.50.8
11.510.7
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End3.0
blue by 0.4
3745
#48
12.90.3
11.912.1
Auto3.1
Teleop6.6
End3.2
Third
2515
#34
12.00.8
8.67.8
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End3.2
red by 5.8
2825
#58
6.20.3
11.411.7
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
26%HAB Docking oddsMissed20%HAB Docking oddsMissed