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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324901020406070803168

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5637
#28
15.00.1
10.510.6
Auto4.2
Teleop6.6
End4.2
blue by 9.5
2987
#3Sur
24.50.6
22.222.9
Auto5.7
Teleop11.7
End7.1
Second
3745
#48Sur
12.90.1
12.112.2
Auto3.1
Teleop6.6
End3.2
blue by 5.6
2530
#27
18.50.6
15.616.2
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End4.1
Third
2515
#34
12.00.1
7.87.9
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End3.2
red by 1.7
2846
#42
10.30.6
8.69.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
19%HAB Docking oddsMissed21%HAB Docking oddsMissed