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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384402060802723

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4549
#20
13.81.0
13.412.4
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End2.5
blue by 3.5
2181
#45
17.22.1
14.512.4
Auto5.6
Teleop7.5
End4.2
Second
3134
#22
13.31.1
12.511.4
Auto3.2
Teleop4.3
End5.8
blue by 2.3
2501
#62
15.51.7
17.215.5
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End1.7
Third
2846
#42
10.31.1
10.39.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.1
End0.6
blue by 5.1
7850
#19
15.37.7
15.78.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
23%HAB Docking oddsMissed30%HAB Docking oddsMissed