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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484210203060706927

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.41.0
19.820.8
Auto5.1
Teleop11.0
End6.3
red by 4.6
3026
#49
17.80.9
15.714.9
Auto3.2
Teleop12.6
End2.1
Second
5434
#24
17.10.8
14.715.5
Auto3.4
Teleop10.5
End3.2
red by 3.3
5996
#38
13.81.4
11.510.0
Auto3.3
Teleop5.5
End5.0
Third
2480
#57
12.51.3
10.611.9
Auto3.4
Teleop6.1
End3.0
blue by 0.3
3055
#51
12.81.4
12.711.3
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
24%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed