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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454520304050605524

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#13
22.10.5
19.319.8
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End8.0
red by 5.8
3184
#25
16.31.2
13.912.7
Auto5.9
Teleop7.2
End3.2
Second
3244
#12
18.60.7
14.815.5
Auto5.0
Teleop11.9
End1.7
red by 3.1
2501
#62
15.51.4
15.914.5
Auto3.4
Teleop10.4
End1.7
Third
3202
#44
12.90.7
8.79.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.5
End3.4
blue by 0.7
3299
#50
13.62.0
12.610.6
Auto3.8
Teleop7.1
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
27%HAB Docking oddsEarned22%HAB Docking oddsMissed