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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384502060804154

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4198
#13
22.10.3
19.820.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.4
End8.0
red by 3.0
4207
#10
19.20.1
17.517.6
Auto6.1
Teleop9.1
End4.0
Second
4664
#60
9.00.6
7.48.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.2
End1.9
blue by 9.5
2530
#27
18.50.1
16.116.2
Auto5.1
Teleop9.3
End4.1
Third
2825
#58
6.20.6
8.79.3
Auto2.4
Teleop3.4
End0.4
blue by 6.7
3202
#44
12.90.1
9.49.5
Auto3.0
Teleop6.5
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsEarned15%HAB Docking oddsMissed