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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484620304060706963

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.01.8
27.929.6
Auto5.1
Teleop15.6
End8.3
red by 8.5
2823
#40
20.40.6
19.219.8
Auto3.1
Teleop12.9
End4.5
Second
7850
#19
15.32.7
6.79.4
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End3.8
red by 1.9
2470
#53
13.50.6
11.712.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End2.8
Third
3299
#50
13.62.7
10.613.2
Auto3.8
Teleop7.1
End2.8
red by 0.8
3745
#48
12.91.1
12.713.7
Auto3.1
Teleop6.6
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
52%HAB Docking oddsEarned20%HAB Docking oddsMissed