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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51452030406070805945

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3630
#30
20.90.7
17.017.7
Auto3.8
Teleop14.4
End2.7
red by 2.0
4536
#41
18.90.2
19.319.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.9
End4.1
Second
2181
#45
17.21.1
16.417.6
Auto5.6
Teleop7.5
End4.2
red by 3.7
2470
#53
13.50.2
12.612.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.2
End2.8
Third
16.90.7
15.416.0
Auto5.5
Teleop6.7
End4.8
red by 4.4
2532
#21
12.60.3
10.610.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed