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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46422030405060703746

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5434
#24
17.10.5
16.716.2
Auto3.4
Teleop10.5
End3.2
red by 2.4
3298
#36
14.60.4
13.313.7
Auto3.2
Teleop8.7
End2.7
Second
3055
#51
12.80.8
13.112.3
Auto2.7
Teleop8.3
End1.8
blue by 1.9
2518
#29
14.60.6
13.514.2
Auto4.0
Teleop5.1
End5.4
Third
2515
#34
12.00.7
14.113.4
Auto2.5
Teleop6.3
End3.2
blue by 1.8
4549
#20
13.80.4
13.313.7
Auto4.0
Teleop7.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed33%HAB Docking oddsMissed