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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504510203040607080906236

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.51.0
24.125.0
Auto5.7
Teleop11.7
End7.1
red by 3.6
3630
#30
20.90.7
20.419.8
Auto3.8
Teleop14.4
End2.7
Second
3298
#36
14.61.0
13.714.6
Auto3.2
Teleop8.7
End2.7
red by 1.8
3745
#48
12.90.9
13.712.9
Auto3.1
Teleop6.6
End3.2
Third
3407
#46
11.21.4
9.911.2
Auto4.8
Teleop5.0
End1.4
red by 3.6
2879
#54
7.71.1
8.87.7
Auto3.4
Teleop2.9
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
28%HAB Docking oddsEarned10%HAB Docking oddsMissed