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Red30
212912.3
451110.5
249111.5
Blue32
318417.6
253210.9
999210.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344002060801001203032

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2129
#28
12.30.2
10.610.4
Auto5.2
Teleop3.3
End3.7
blue by 5.4
3184
#11
17.60.4
14.313.9
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End4.7
Second
2491
#29
11.50.2
12.912.8
Auto5.1
Teleop2.5
End3.9
red by 0.6
2532
#23
10.90.5
12.211.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End2.5
Third
4511
#32
10.50.2
9.08.8
Auto4.7
Teleop2.5
End3.3
blue by 0.3
9992
#24
10.80.4
11.210.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
7%HAB Docking oddsMissed19%HAB Docking oddsMissed