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Red53
253210.9
222018.6
388312.5
Blue27
34079.4
26069.7
298721.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364502060801005327

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#21
18.61.2
13.815.0
Auto4.7
Teleop10.7
End3.2
blue by 3.2
2987
#12
21.81.0
22.321.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End6.6
Second
3883
#26
12.51.2
8.910.1
Auto4.7
Teleop6.7
End1.1
red by 2.7
2606
#33
9.71.1
10.29.0
Auto4.1
Teleop3.6
End2.1
Third
2532
#23
10.91.5
11.713.2
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End2.5
red by 1.4
3407
#27
9.41.1
10.08.9
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
4%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
9%HAB Docking oddsMissed32%HAB Docking oddsMissed