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Red37
181621.9
392619.8
253012.2
Blue29
249111.5
324419.9
999210.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions56452040803729

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1816
#10
21.91.1
20.519.5
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End5.2
red by 2.0
3244
#14
19.91.0
19.418.4
Auto5.0
Teleop12.8
End2.2
Second
3926
#18
19.81.1
21.019.9
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End5.4
red by 8.3
2491
#29
11.50.9
12.811.8
Auto5.1
Teleop2.5
End3.9
Third
2530
#16
12.21.1
11.810.7
Auto4.9
Teleop2.6
End4.8
red by 1.5
9992
#24
10.80.9
10.89.9
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
2%Rocket oddsMissed4%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
88%HAB Docking oddsMissed15%HAB Docking oddsEarned