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Red39
205224.3
284610.2
702824.9
Blue20
31007.9
217714.5
253210.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6242020801003920

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.91.3
24.222.9
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End5.5
red by 10.4
2177
#20
14.51.3
19.017.6
Auto5.7
Teleop5.0
End3.7
Second
24.31.3
25.424.1
Auto4.3
Teleop12.5
End7.5
red by 13.5
2532
#23
10.91.5
13.211.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.5
End2.5
Third
2846
#19
10.21.3
9.17.8
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End2.2
red by 2.3
3100
#31
7.91.3
7.96.5
Auto1.9
Teleop3.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
6%Rocket oddsMissed3%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
59%HAB Docking oddsEarned26%HAB Docking oddsMissed