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Red81
702824.9
250015.0
181621.9
Blue65
222018.6
253012.2
485915.5
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions594320801008165

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.91.7
22.424.1
Auto6.0
Teleop13.3
End5.5
red by 6.3
2220
#21
18.61.6
15.917.6
Auto4.7
Teleop10.7
End3.2
Second
1816
#10
21.91.7
19.220.9
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End5.2
red by 6.4
15.51.6
13.815.5
Auto3.6
Teleop5.7
End6.3
Third
2500
#15
15.01.7
14.115.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.8
End1.6
red by 2.7
2530
#16
12.21.6
10.712.3
Auto4.9
Teleop2.6
End4.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
69%HAB Docking oddsEarned33%HAB Docking oddsEarned