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Red45
31007.9
999210.8
460727.4
Blue45
388312.5
249111.5
563817.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484120306070804545

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.4
Auto3.5
Teleop20.4
End3.4
red by 10.3
17.1
Auto5.1
Teleop8.5
End3.4
Second
9992
#24
10.8
Auto3.1
Teleop3.9
End3.7
blue by 1.7
3883
#26
12.5
Auto4.7
Teleop6.7
End1.1
Third
3100
#31
7.9
Auto1.9
Teleop3.1
End2.9
blue by 3.6
2491
#29
11.5
Auto5.1
Teleop2.5
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
13%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
30%HAB Docking oddsMissed9%HAB Docking oddsMissed