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Red20
392619.8
284610.2
249111.5
Blue33
563817.1
34079.4
222018.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5447204060801002033

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3926
#18
19.82.1
25.223.1
Auto4.7
Teleop9.8
End5.4
red by 1.2
2220
#21
18.60.8
14.814.1
Auto4.7
Teleop10.7
End3.2
Second
2491
#29
11.52.1
15.012.9
Auto5.1
Teleop2.5
End3.9
blue by 5.6
17.10.8
18.217.4
Auto5.1
Teleop8.5
End3.4
Third
2846
#19
10.22.1
11.29.1
Auto3.7
Teleop4.3
End2.2
red by 0.8
3407
#27
9.41.0
11.210.2
Auto3.2
Teleop4.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
17%HAB Docking oddsMissed16%HAB Docking oddsMissed