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Red41
318417.6
453617.2
222018.6
Blue65
419817.0
181621.9
563817.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485602040801001201404165

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2220
#21
18.60.3
14.113.8
Auto4.7
Teleop10.7
End3.2
blue by 3.4
1816
#10
21.90.8
20.821.6
Auto4.1
Teleop12.6
End5.2
Second
3184
#11
17.60.3
14.614.3
Auto5.0
Teleop7.9
End4.7
red by 0.5
17.10.8
17.418.2
Auto5.1
Teleop8.5
End3.4
Third
17.20.3
17.016.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.5
End4.2
red by 0.2
17.00.8
15.015.8
Auto3.0
Teleop6.6
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
7%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
21%HAB Docking oddsMissed86%HAB Docking oddsEarned