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Red41
253012.2
703815.9
298721.8
Blue20
31007.9
223912.3
26069.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53350204060801004120

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2987
#12
21.80.6
23.022.3
Auto5.4
Teleop9.7
End6.6
red by 9.5
12.30.9
12.211.3
Auto3.5
Teleop6.3
End2.5
Second
7038
#25
15.90.8
15.114.3
Auto3.6
Teleop10.0
End2.3
red by 6.1
2606
#33
9.71.1
11.210.2
Auto4.1
Teleop3.6
End2.1
Third
2530
#16
12.20.6
12.411.8
Auto4.9
Teleop2.6
End4.8
red by 4.3
3100
#31
7.90.9
9.78.8
Auto1.9
Teleop3.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
1%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
37%HAB Docking oddsMissed18%HAB Docking oddsMissed