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Red84
363023.3
785018.4
617518.6
Blue64
310227.4
450619.3
310023.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637920401001208464

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.31.2
24.225.4
Auto3.2
Teleop15.5
End4.5
blue by 4.1
3102
#16
27.40.7
25.725.0
Auto4.9
Teleop15.7
End6.8
Second
6175
#14
18.61.3
18.619.9
Auto5.2
Teleop8.3
End5.1
blue by 5.0
3100
#27
23.50.7
28.027.2
Auto5.0
Teleop11.4
End7.1
Third
7850
#22
18.41.2
17.218.4
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End3.6
blue by 0.8
4506
#18
19.30.8
21.220.4
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed5%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
45%HAB Docking oddsEarned98%HAB Docking oddsMissed