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Red92
310227.4
222026.0
423919.0
Blue61
331319.9
226417.3
485916.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions735840801009261

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#16
27.40.9
25.626.5
Auto4.9
Teleop15.7
End6.8
red by 7.4
3313
#24
19.90.4
22.422.8
Auto5.5
Teleop10.0
End4.5
Second
26.00.9
23.924.8
Auto5.0
Teleop15.3
End5.7
red by 8.7
2264
#36
17.30.6
15.516.1
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End5.7
Third
4239
#11
19.00.9
19.920.8
Auto5.5
Teleop8.0
End5.5
red by 2.1
4859
#31
16.90.5
17.417.9
Auto3.6
Teleop7.6
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
8%Rocket oddsMissed1%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
81%HAB Docking oddsEarned76%HAB Docking oddsEarned