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Red51
257422.3
617518.6
450619.3
Blue53
485916.9
250015.8
569019.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68612030405080901005153

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2574
#26
22.30.9
23.822.9
Auto5.4
Teleop14.3
End2.5
red by 2.8
5690
#23
19.50.3
20.620.3
Auto5.1
Teleop10.5
End4.0
Second
4506
#18
19.30.9
20.419.5
Auto3.8
Teleop9.1
End6.3
red by 2.3
4859
#31
16.90.3
17.717.4
Auto3.6
Teleop7.6
End5.8
Third
6175
#14
18.60.9
19.919.0
Auto5.2
Teleop8.3
End5.1
red by 2.7
2500
#32
15.80.3
19.519.2
Auto5.1
Teleop9.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
3%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking oddsEarned37%HAB Docking oddsMissed