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Red43
388318.1
599123.5
226417.3
Blue70
331319.9
563818.2
400929.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6673204060801004370

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.51.3
23.822.5
Auto3.9
Teleop12.9
End6.8
blue by 5.9
4009
#10
29.40.1
26.926.9
Auto5.1
Teleop15.7
End8.6
Second
3883
#29
18.11.3
20.919.6
Auto4.8
Teleop10.1
End3.2
blue by 1.8
3313
#24
19.90.1
21.621.7
Auto5.5
Teleop10.0
End4.5
Third
2264
#36
17.31.4
17.616.2
Auto4.6
Teleop7.0
End5.7
blue by 0.9
5638
#28
18.20.1
20.620.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.5
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rocket
5%Rocket oddsMissed2%Rocket oddsMissed
HAB Docking
80%HAB Docking oddsMissed69%HAB Docking oddsEarned